South Melbourne vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
CCO
3 - 1
SOU
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 0
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
GIF
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
3 - 1
NCB
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
SYD
3 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 3
CCO
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ADE
1 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 2
MEL
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIF
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |