South Melbourne vs St Albans Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
BEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 3
AVH
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DAC
0 - 1
SOU
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
St Albans Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
AVH
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DAC
1 - 2
STA
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
POR
13%
19%
69%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
STA
0 - 4
ALM
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
OAK
3 - 1
STA
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |