South Melbourne vs St Albans Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
DAN
42%
23%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
SOU
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
OAK
1 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
St Albans Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
DAN
1 - 0
STA
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
POR
5 - 0
STA
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
ELS
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
STA
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
MEL
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |