South Melbourne vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 0
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 2
SOU
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SOU
6 - 2
SFC
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2001 |
PER
2 - 2
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MEL
0 - 0
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CCO
0 - 3
PER
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
PER
0 - 1
PAP
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 4
PER
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |