South Melbourne vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 0
ADE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 2
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SOU
3 - 0
NZK
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
EPR
0 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
PER
1 - 1
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
PER
3 - 0
CCO
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
PAP
2 - 3
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
PER
7 - 2
BRI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |