South Melbourne vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
GIF
72%
16%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 2
SOU
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
WAD
2 - 0
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
PER
1 - 1
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
WAD
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
GIF
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
SYD
3 - 1
PER
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
PER
3 - 4
NCB
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |