South Melbourne vs Parramatta Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
0 - 0
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
PER
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 2
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 2
PAP
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 0
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 0
PAP
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
PAP
3 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |