South Melbourne vs Olympic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
STA
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AVH
1 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
WPH
13%
19%
69%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 0
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
DAC
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 1
BRI
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
OLY
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
API
8%
14%
78%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +5 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
BRR
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
OLY
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |