South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
2º
1º
53
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 0
ALM
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 0
SOU
21%
24%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 0
MNG
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HUM
0 - 1
SOU
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOU
4 - 2
MCF
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 2
OAK
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
8%
17%
75%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
OAK
0 - 2
DAC
85%
10%
4%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 2
OAK
11%
20%
70%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 0
HEU
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |