South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 2
SOU
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
14%
22%
65%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AVH
2 - 1
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
SOU
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
5 - 0
ALM
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
5 - 0
MCF
92%
6%
2%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
2 - 3
MCI
7%
13%
80%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
NGW
2 - 4
OAK
5%
11%
83%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
OAK
0 - 0
AVH
48%
23%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |