South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
BEN
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HUM
1 - 2
SOU
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RIC
6 - 3
SOU
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -3 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 2
SOU
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
SOU
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
OAK
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 1
OAK
33%
23%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 3
OAK
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
OAK
2 - 1
HUM
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
OAK
2 - 2
RIC
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |