South Melbourne vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
EPR
0 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
SYD
0 - 3
SOU
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
26%
24%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
SOU
4 - 2
SOU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
NZK
72%
17%
12%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
CCO
0 - 2
NZK
38%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
NZK
0 - 1
PAP
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
BRI
1 - 1
NZK
54%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
NZK
2 - 2
MEL
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |