South Melbourne vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 3
PAS
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
OAK
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 0
DAN
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
BUL
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
POR
4 - 2
SOU
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
BEN
16%
20%
64%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
MEL
4 - 1
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
HUM
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 1
PAS
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 2
NOR
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |