South Melbourne vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 0
PAP
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
0 - 0
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 2
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
SYD
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
ADE
2 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
NEW
3 - 1
SOU
26%
24%
51%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 0
PAP
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |