South Melbourne vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
1 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
CSC
2 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
CSC
3 - 5
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
PER
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
1 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
SYD
1 - 0
NCB
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
0 - 0
CSC
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PER
1 - 2
NCB
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
0 - 1
PAP
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |