South Melbourne vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
MEL
1 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
SOU
5 - 1
BRI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
SOU
4 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
CSC
2 - 3
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1998 |
NCB
1 - 5
GIF
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
WAD
3 - 1
NCB
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1998 |
ADE
4 - 0
NCB
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 1
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |