South Melbourne vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 3
PAS
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
OAK
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 0
DAN
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
BUL
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
BEN
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 3
HUM
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
MEL
4 - 1
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 1
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
OAK
3 - 4
MEL
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |