South Melbourne vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 0
SOU
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 3
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 1
SOU
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
PAP
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SFC
2 - 0
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |