A-League Playoffs 1/16
Global 7-1
South Melbourne vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 4
SOU
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
CCO
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
PER
4 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 0
WAD
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 4
SOU
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
MEL
3 - 1
PER
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
WAD
2 - 4
MEL
39%
24%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
MAR
0 - 1
MEL
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |