South Melbourne vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
SYD
1 - 3
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
NCB
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
MEL
1 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
SOU
5 - 1
BRI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
GIF
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
WAD
0 - 2
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 2
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 1
SYD
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |