South Melbourne vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
NCB
0 - 4
SOU
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 0
SOU
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
BRI
2 - 3
SOU
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADE
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
BRI
2 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
MAR
3 - 1
ADE
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 3
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIF
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |