South Melbourne vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
78.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
NEC
3 - 1
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 0
SOU
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
CSC
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
SYD
0 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 1
MUD
13%
19%
68%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
MUD
4 - 0
BRA
80%
13%
6%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
WHU
2 - 4
MUD
22%
23%
55%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |