South Melbourne vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
RIC
81%
12%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
BUL
86%
9%
4%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
NOR
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
HUM
6 - 0
MEL
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
HUM
3 - 1
OAK
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
HUM
4 - 0
RIC
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
HUM
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HUM
2 - 1
AVH
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |