South Melbourne vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADE
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
MEL
2 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 0
SOU
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
SOU
0 - 0
SYD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
HEU
0 - 3
PAE
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
GIF
3 - 1
HEU
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
HEU
1 - 1
NCB
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
MZE
2 - 0
HEU
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
HEU
2 - 3
SOU
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |