South Melbourne vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 3
SOU
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
BEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
AVH
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
DAC
1 - 4
GRE
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 3
POR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 4
GRE
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 3
OAK
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |