South Melbourne vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 4
SOU
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
AVH
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 4
SOU
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
OAK
4 - 3
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
MEL
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
OAK
0 - 1
GRE
42%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
CCM
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
HUM
2 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |