South Melbourne vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
CSC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 0
CSC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
CSC
1 - 2
SOU
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 5
CSC
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
SYD
2 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 0
ADE
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
CSC
4 - 1
GIF
61%
21%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 1
SYD
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
GIF
72%
16%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
GIF
2 - 3
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |