South Melbourne vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 2
SOU
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
WAD
2 - 0
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
SYD
1 - 3
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
GIF
2 - 3
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
GIF
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 3
GIF
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 0
WAD
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
GIF
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |