South Melbourne vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
3 - 1
NCB
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
BRI
3 - 0
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 3
WAD
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 1
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
CCO
5 - 0
GIF
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIF
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GIF
0 - 4
ADE
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
SYD
0 - 2
GIF
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 0
GIF
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |