South Melbourne vs Eastern Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
5 - 0
HUM
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
STA
1 - 4
SOU
15%
19%
67%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 3
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ELS
2 - 4
AVH
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DAC
2 - 2
ELS
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 3
POR
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
ELS
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ELS
2 - 3
OAK
10%
17%
74%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |