South Melbourne vs Eastern Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 3
HEU
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 3
HEU
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALM
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
OAK
4 - 1
SOU
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAN
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ELS
0 - 3
BEN
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ELS
0 - 2
OAK
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 0
ELS
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |