South Melbourne vs Dandenong City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
HEU
1 - 4
SOU
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
POR
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
6 - 2
SOU
61%
20%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HEU
4 - 2
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
DAC
1 - 4
AVH
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
KIN
2 - 0
DAC
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -3 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SOU
5 - 4
DAC
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
DAC
3 - 2
MEL
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
DAC
2 - 0
BUL
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |