South Melbourne vs Carlton SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SYD
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
MAR
5 - 3
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 0
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
WAD
1 - 1
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
CSC
3 - 0
CCO
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
2 - 1
CSC
45%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
BRI
1 - 0
CSC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
CSC
1 - 2
SFC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
CSC
4 - 1
ADE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |