South Melbourne vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
PER
4 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 0
WAD
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
CCO
2 - 4
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
3 - 1
CCO
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
CCO
0 - 1
ADE
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
SYD
7 - 2
CCO
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
CCO
2 - 4
GIF
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |