South Melbourne vs Brisbane Strikers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
SYD
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
CWA
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 3
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Strikers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
BRI
6 - 1
NCB
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ADE
0 - 0
BRI
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
5 - 0
BRI
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 3
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |