South Melbourne vs Avondale Heights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 4
SOU
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
OAK
4 - 3
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 1
SOU
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 2
HUM
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
RIC
81%
12%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 0
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 3
AVH
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
OAK
6 - 0
AVH
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 2
HEU
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |