South Melbourne vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
OAK
4 - 1
SOU
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 0
DAN
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HUM
3 - 1
SOU
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
SOU
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 2
AVH
18%
19%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
POR
4 - 4
ALM
55%
20%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 2
DAC
49%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 1
HEU
16%
17%
67%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |