South Melbourne vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
GIF
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
3 - 1
NCB
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
BRI
3 - 0
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 3
WAD
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ADE
1 - 0
SOU
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
CCO
0 - 0
ADE
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
ADE
2 - 2
SYD
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GIF
0 - 4
ADE
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
ADE
7 - 0
BRI
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |