South Hobart vs Olympia Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
HOB
4 - 5
SOU
16%
16%
68%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ROF
0 - 5
SOU
2%
6%
92%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 1
DEV
61%
19%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 3
SOU
4%
8%
88%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 13
SOU
3%
6%
91%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Olympia Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 3
OLY
14%
16%
70%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
KIN
1 - 4
OLY
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 1
OLY
20%
19%
62%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
OLY
9 - 0
CLA
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
OLY
5 - 0
ROF
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |