South Hobart vs Olympia Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+173%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 0
DEV
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 5
SOU
3%
7%
90%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
SOU
3%
7%
90%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 5
SOU
2%
6%
92%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SOU
6 - 2
OLY
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olympia Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
OLY
8 - 1
LAU
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
HOB
1 - 1
OLY
51%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 2
DEV
49%
20%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 4
OLY
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 2
KIN
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |