South Hobart vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
OLY
3 - 1
SOU
21%
18%
62%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
HOB
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ROF
0 - 0
SOU
2%
6%
92%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
DEV
4 - 1
SOU
50%
20%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
GLE
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SYD
0 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 2
MDT
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 3
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
HAS
1 - 0
MAR
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |