South Gower vs Chepstow Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Gower
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 0
RKP
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
SGA
76%
15%
9%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Chepstow Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CTF
4 - 0
AUA
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CTF
7 - 0
PLL
21%
19%
60%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 2
PON
5%
12%
84%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 0
RKP
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
UND
3 - 0
CTF
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |