USF Athletics vs UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
SFB
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 5
TUL
26%
22%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SFB
1 - 2
MPH
78%
13%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 1
TMP
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 4
PIP
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -3 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
JMD
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TUL
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |