USF Athletics vs UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 2
SFB
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 3
SFB
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
TUL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
TMP
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
UCF
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 0
TMP
67%
17%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
0 - 2
UCF
59%
20%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
MPH
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 3
TUL
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
UCF
12%
17%
71%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |