USF Athletics vs UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
7 - 0
SFB
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TMP
3 - 2
SFB
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
LOC
4 - 1
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TMP
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
UCF
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
UCF
1 - 2
SMU
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UCF
2 - 1
MSB
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |