USF Athletics vs Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SFB
1 - 2
MPH
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 2
SFB
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 3
SFB
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TUL
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 1
TMP
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TMP
4 - 1
TUL
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |