USF Athletics vs Memphis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TMP
0 - 3
SFB
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
4 - 0
SFB
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 3
UCF
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
SFB
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 5
TUL
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
3 - 2
SMU
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 3
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
0 - 2
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 1
TUL
10%
16%
75%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |