South Coast Wolves vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 5
SYD
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 6
PER
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
PAP
0 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NZK
4 - 5
SOU
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PAP
4 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |