South Coast Wolves vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADE
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
GIF
4 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SYD
4 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 3
ADE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
CCO
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
ADE
1 - 2
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1995 |
GIF
0 - 1
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
MEL
3 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -2 |