South Coast Wolves vs Parramatta Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 3
BLA
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 0
SYD
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 0
SUT
39%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 0
SOU
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
SYD
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
PAE
1 - 2
SYD
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
PAE
2 - 2
MAN
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 1
PAE
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 1
BLA
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 1
PAE
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |